Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 94803.887327 99940.754677 105072.576209 110580.587790 116321.481559 122125.183955 128432.300406
2025-07-20 87051.323692 94963.735531 103084.188159 112030.457078 121599.068228 131515.705634 142559.051859
2025-07-27 81171.477709 90990.591950 101284.580125 112859.208738 125488.889747 138829.214604 153962.929798
2025-08-03 76173.395785 87376.830171 99334.556458 113011.080477 128183.338837 144461.672566 163209.350856
2025-08-10 72242.674506 84559.363694 97912.875400 113413.369071 130856.004154 149822.032181 171947.300698
2025-08-17 68710.647179 81916.751458 96439.260414 113522.657964 132993.303856 154417.596812 179695.948334
2025-08-24 66363.814256 80442.126088 96122.764710 114789.484206 136307.412495 160234.654275 188749.741190
2025-08-31 63467.830399 78168.128857 94743.127383 114699.723461 137953.283956 164068.254067 195484.038619
2025-09-07 61781.062216 77200.514345 94780.106789 116163.811731 141321.704606 169826.645591 204404.880229
2025-09-14 59979.414701 75999.236828 94458.256207 117131.746155 144052.448348 174811.201221 212417.937671
2025-09-21 57872.516549 74336.657694 93505.616156 117275.723020 145750.051543 178547.986945 218952.315975
2025-09-28 55872.782297 72719.766169 92531.608059 117323.636009 147274.973008 182040.598674 225177.246801
2025-10-05 54855.849570 72282.091125 92967.388237 119072.542962 150858.903428 188017.402461 234428.349146
2025-10-12 53775.404125 71720.867019 93218.055017 120572.700434 154135.491232 193641.242774 243299.164544
2025-10-19 52452.530686 70803.017487 92985.546596 121443.420055 156622.974957 198311.970123 251041.720122
2025-10-26 50863.732762 69491.347206 92213.954777 121602.552629 158204.520666 201869.579319 257439.365995
2025-11-02 49495.533106 68411.938445 91688.693951 122029.091834 160086.133552 205776.077166 264262.805350
2025-11-09 48058.829111 67195.552311 90947.229713 122144.986162 161551.793237 209157.207849 270443.952688
2025-11-16 47259.846620 66777.991313 91194.329921 123489.526023 164541.687469 214414.173543 278950.048589
2025-11-23 45861.133723 65528.866023 90337.779758 123394.256795 165694.608977 217386.818733 284637.361682
2025-11-30 45250.819525 65300.757816 90778.838286 124947.997703 168929.084714 222953.723961 293569.939386
2025-12-07 44446.551730 64786.052826 90824.990667 125975.085724 171485.460254 227678.498315 301474.651403
2025-12-14 43313.742177 63794.912975 90217.956163 126127.853508 172904.160106 230967.880221 307588.402220